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Mortgage Rate Outlook

Writer's picture: Rebecca RichardsonRebecca Richardson

Mortgage rates are expected to remain relatively stable in March, with 30-year fixed-rate mortgages averaging between 6.5% and 7%. This slight decrease from previous months is influenced by various economic factors.



30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgages

The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is projected to average around 6.8% in March 2025. This rate is slightly lower than the previous month but still higher than many homebuyers had hoped for earlier in the year. Factors influencing this rate include:

  • Inflation Data: Recent reports show inflation rose to 3% in January 2025, higher than the anticipated 2.8%.

  • Federal Reserve Policy: The Federal Reserve remains cautious about cutting interest rates, affecting mortgage rates.

  • Economic Uncertainties: Ongoing economic uncertainties continue to impact the stability of mortgage rates.

15-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgages

For those considering a shorter loan term, 15-year fixed-rate mortgages are expected to have slightly lower rates:

  • Current Projections: Rates are expected to average around 5.75% through March 2025.

  • Year-End Forecasts: Some experts anticipate rates could decrease to as low as 5.25% by the end of the year.

Market Factors and Predictions

Several key factors are influencing these mortgage rate predictions:

  • Federal Reserve Policy: The Fed's cautious approach to interest rates is keeping mortgage rates elevated.

  • Inflation Concerns: The unexpected rise in inflation has tempered expectations for further rate cuts.

  • Economic Growth: Continued but slowing real GDP expansion is expected, with a forecast of 2.2% growth for 2025.

  • Housing Market Dynamics: Existing home sales are likely to remain near multi-decade lows due to higher rates.

Expert Forecasts

Various industry experts and institutions have provided forecasts for mortgage rates in 2025:

  • Fannie Mae: Predicts 30-year mortgage rates to close 2025 at 6.5%.

  • Mortgage Bankers Association: Aligns with Fannie Mae, forecasting rates to end 2025 at 6.5%.

  • Realtor.com: Anticipates rates dropping to 6.2% by the end of 2025.

  • National Association of Home Builders: Forecasts an average rate of 6.53% for 2025.


Conclusion

While there is hope for a gradual decline in mortgage rates throughout 2025, March is likely to see rates remain relatively stable.


Note: All projections are subject to change based on evolving economic conditions and should be used for informational purposes only.

 
 
 
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